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* Dinar Speculator Rumor on Govt 7/29/10

July 29, 2010 Leave a Comment

apolloo says to  (13:50:20):
for along time the people on the streets in iraq have not been getting timely information
and now that a lot has changed with the “powers that be” so has that
my friend in Hilla emailed me again today
his information has just about always been weeks behind when we see it
but not now
here is what he said

apolloo says to  (13:51:53):
I heard today that the US is going to impose the formation of a National Salvation Government by August 4th, I think, if no decision is made as to the formation of Gov. It seems that those guys needs someone tough to force them into common sense. Cheers

apolloo says to  (13:52:11):
I sent him an email back and said that the UN , not the US would be in charge of it:
In fact, we think that Talabani was already APPOINTED the president by the UN. It will NOT be the US that comes in and takes over, it will be the UN we think. The US needs the rest of the world to recognize this new govt and if we just went in and took over they would be accused of being a “puppet” government. Our sources in the UN say that they all ready to make it happen and if your guys don’t get it done by Aug 4th, then they will.

apolloo says to  (13:52:18):
and he respoonded
“That is correct, it is the UN, not the US. My bad”
That is awesome!!
their news is up to date with all that we are seeing and hearing and the people are getting educated as to the TRUE nature of what all has been going on and educated public is a dangerous public for a dictator
anybody seen any articles about a  NATIONAL SALVATION GOVERNMENT?
they might just know more than we do for a change

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With 7/29/10, dinar, Govt., Rumor, Speculator

* Enorrste take as of 7/28/10: The GET Team

July 29, 2010 Leave a Comment

As we approach another week having passed with no completion of the forming of the government, we see our frustration levels rise another notch. This is certainly understandable given the strange and unprecedented tactics used by the Iraqi leadership.

Did I say unprecedented? Actually that is not quite accurate. In 2006 this same scenario was played out and it took 210 days to form the government that Maliki led for the last 4 years.

Given that record, we should not be surprised to see this run all the way into September before the Government is formed. This is a very sad prospect indeed, but it is one that should be considered, and especially so since they did it this way before.

However, due to the Vortex of forces that have come to Iraq and centered around the reinstatement of the IQD to its former level of $3.22 from the early 1980s, I feel fairly confident that the process will be resolved before that time. Let me try to explain my thinking on this matter for you all.

We will start essentially where Willie left off on our last call on Sunday evening. In that call Willie brought us all up to date from the prior week’s events. Unfortunately we have not seen anything resolved since that time. However, there has been some minor movement as well as some continued arm twisting.

First, we are now seeing that the support for Maliki is falling by the wayside day by day. The Saudi Arabian government actually had the audacity to invite Iraqi leaders to their country. However, the invitation specifically EXCLUDED Maliki. It is hard to imagine more direct shunning of a world leader, and especially so in the Middle East!

Added to that we have the clear statement from the INA, the Iraqi National Alliance, that they categorically reject Maliki for a second term. What is amazing about this statement is the fact that the INA is still merged with Maliki’s State of Law coalition in the super coalition called the National Alliance.
Therefore, the National Alliance is showing serious signs of stress and will almost assuredly break prior to the full meeting of parliament. In fact it was stated by Member of Parliament Hasan al-Shimmery that, and I quote, “The INA will go to parliament as INA rather than as part of the NC.”
This means that the National Alliance, which was formed after the election to become the largest political block, will once again revert to the INA and the State of Law, two separate coalitions.

It will also allow the INA to align itself formally with Allawi’s Iraqiya List.

There is a potential problem with this realignment as well, unfortunately. The fact is that the INA is fully Shiite and believes that the government should be largely Shiite in its new configuration. In saying this they are indicating that they don’t mind an alliance with Iraqiya and Kurds, which I have predicted here before many weeks ago, but that they don’t want Allawi as the Prime Minister. Instead, they are offering a “compromise” candidate for the PM slot, most notably the leader of the National Coalition and a former oil minister Ibrahim Bahr al-Ulum, or the leader of the National Congress, Ahmed Chalabi.

In short, the INA has made it clear that Maliki is not being considered for a second term as Prime Minister.

So what will they do with Maliki? There are discussions among members of parliament that have been posted in the news that indicate that he may be offered the position of President of the Republic, which Talabani currently holds, or President of Parliament, which is now up for grabs. Of course this is by no means Maliki’s first choice, but under the circumstances beggars can’t be choosers.

Since we have seen that there is a general consensus already developed to keep Talabani as President of the Republic, this having been announced just a day or so ago, it appears that the only position left for Maliki, other than behind bars, will be the presidency of the Parliament.

This leaves us with the following possible solution to the government problem: Talabani would be president of the republic, Maliki president of the parliament, and either Allawi or one of the two other Shiite candidates as Prime Minister.

This brings us to the question as to whether Allawi will be able to convince the INA to accept his rightful position as the prime minister.

What we are seeing here is more than just a sectarian arguing among brothers, as I alluded in my last talk. It has become more complicated, in my opinion, than that. Clearly the sibling rivalry that I alluded to exists. But it is compounded by deep seeded feelings over the personalities involved as well as distrust of the players themselves.

It is not yet clear whether Allawi will be able to convince the INA to recognize his rightful position as PM. Furthermore, it is highly unlikely, as I see it, that Allawi will step aside in favor of one of the compromise candidates.

This brings us to the place we are today. The players remain at an impasse with no one stepping forward to offer a realistic compromise.

However, the UNSC has made its point clear that time is running out for Iraq. The UNSC will meet on August 4 to determine the fate of the removal of Iraq from Chapter 7. I believe that their intention is to remove Iraq from Chapter 7, but I also believe that they will do this ONLY if the leadership of the new government is announced beforehand.

If that announcement is NOT made by August 4, I expect the UNSC to extend the sanctions of Chapter 7 indefinitely. In doing so the UN will retain effective control over the country and will be able to install an interim government of their own choosing.

It is not entirely sure whether they can do this legally, though, since the UNSC has issued several documents stating how happy they are that Iraq is now a “sovereign nation”. Having said this they are possibly reneging on their own prior statements. It is not clear to me that they will be able to do this without some serious kickbacks from the people of Iraq.

This brings me to Breitling’s position. He left Medic’s site recently for professional business reasons and is now going to be posting on Dinar Daddy Tidbits only. He is a very intelligent analyst and has some high level contacts in the Middle East.

It is his position, based on these contacts, that the RV/RI will not occur until October 17. He is not adamant on this date but says that his contacts are. He has posted this himself, incidentally, so I am not revealing anything that I shouldn’t.

I bring this up because I don’t accept the logic, even though it has been presented quite well by Breitling. Along with a few of my friends we are of the belief that the situation in Iraq is so serious that an extension that far into the future will not be possible.

As I have stated two calls ago, there is a Vortex that has been formed with Iraq in its center. I identified 8 reasons why this vortex is so potentially explosive. I also identified 6 reasons why the RV/RI would have to occur quickly to avoid even more serious problems, not just for Iraq, but for the world economy as well.

I will not repeat that speech. It is available on the forum for you all to review. After having done so, if you agree with me, then you will see that timing is now becoming critical.

Therefore, in conclusion, I expect to see a resolution come from within Iraq before the August 4 deadline. I believe it will have Allawi as the prime minister and the other presidencies as I’ve outlined above. I believe it will come at the very last possible moment, but that it will happen.

If I am mistaken on this, however, I am confident that the UNSC will move swiftly into Iraq and will create an interim government for a 2 year period. It is not important for our investment who the players will be in this government, but I suspect Allawi will still be on top. It will involve members from all four of the largest coalitions.

More to the point for our purposes, however, whether Allawi pulls it together in time or whether the UNSC forms an interim government, I believe that the RV/RI will follow almost immediately after the government announcement. In any case, I do not see this moving into Ramadan, which begins August 11.

Of course I could be wrong!

Steve

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With 7/28/10, Enorrste, take, Team

* Conscious / Baghdad Chamber of Commerce calls for the central bank to stop the receipt of deposits from banks

July 29, 2010 1 Comment

29/7/2010

طا
. Baghdad Chamber of Commerce asked the CBI to stop the receipt of deposits from private banks.

و
) An official source in the Baghdad Chamber of Commerce of the reporter (and the Iraqi News Agency Information / INA) ان ا

. The receipt of deposits by the central bank may lead to the degradation and decline in the investment process by the commercial private sector and will make the atmosphere of recession and stop the movements of trade and investment, adding that the banks by having to send deposits to the Central Bank of Iraq significantly affected the role of traders through decrease the amount of money in the market.

. The source said the claim of the Central Bank room to stop receiving all kinds of deposits from private banks came in response to the above.

Link

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With Baghdad, Bank, Banks, calls, Central, Chamber, Commerce, Conscious, deposits, from, receipt, stop

* Supreme Council: the political scene is moving towards a settlement and the most prominent candidate d. Uloum and d. Chalabi

July 29, 2010 1 Comment

Zulfiqar Ali – 29/07/2010

قا Media adviser to the presidency of the Islamic Supreme Council on behalf of al-Awadi said “there is a movement intensive internal and external levels aimed at ending the political crisis and begin forming the new government.”

وأ. The Al-Awadi (of the INA) that “most political forces informed the state of law by refusing to nominate Mr. Maliki for the premiership, and it replaced its candidate or provide another candidate for the post, in addition to that there are reservations for Foreign Affairs of the nomination of Mr. Maliki’s second term. Expected to be the next few days crucial and may yield about important results.

He pointed out that al-Awadi, the political scene is moving towards a settlement candidate to head the government, and there are a number of names that are now circulating for the post, most notably the leader of the National Coalition and a former oil minister Ibrahim Bahr al-Ulum, the leader of the National Congress, Ahmed Chalabi. ”

Link

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With candidate, Chalabi, Council, most, moving, political, prominent, scene, settlement, Supreme, Towards, Uloum

* Med chat: Dinar Speculator 7/29/10 @ 9:30am

July 29, 2010 Leave a Comment

MED says to (09:26:45):
WELL I SEE IRAQ IS STILL IRAQ
WHICH SUCKS

Polarbear says (09:27:11):
would you expect anything diff.?
Aunt Gwennie says to (09:27:18):
agree

MED says to (09:28:03):
IF THE UN DOES NOT INTERVENE IN THIS……I AM BETTING THAT THERE WILL NOT BE ANY MOVEMENT AT ALL BY THE RULE OF LAW UNTIL AFTER THE NEW YEAR.
MALIKI HAS IT ALL
WHY SHOULD HE
HE IS STILL PM
AND BASICALLY HE IS A DICTATOR
FULL CONTROL OF THE COUNTRY
AND ALL HE HAS TO DO IS JUST SAY WE ARE NEGOTIATING
I DOUBT THAT THIS WILL BE ALLOWED TO GO ON
I AM NOT SAYING THAT THE UNSC WILL COME OUT DURING THE MEETING AND SAY WE ARE MOVING IN
BUT
I AM SURE THAT THEY WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE THE PATH THEY ARE ON
AND FOR THE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE SECRETARY GENERAL TO ATTEND THE MEETING I THINK IS A GOOD SIGN
TODAY AGAIN THE IRAQI GOVT SHOT THEMSELVES IN THE FOOT
ON BEING REMOVED FROM CHAPTER VII
BY STATING THAT KUWAIT IS TAKING ADVANTAGE OF THEM
AND BASICALLY SCREW KUWAIT
NOT THE SMARTEST THING TO DO JUST BEFORE THE MEETING TO BE REMOVED FROM THE SANCTIONS BECAUSE OF THEIR INVASION OF KUWAIT….
IT SURELY DOESN’T SHOW A GOOD NEIGHBOR POLICY
THE ONE THING THESE IDIOTS HAVE NOT LEARNED
IS IN POLITICS
YOU DON’T SAY JUST ANYTHING THAT COMES TO MIND
YOU MAY THINK IT
BUT THESE MORONS LOVE TO CALL IN TO THE MEDIA
NOONE CALLS FOR PHONE INTERVIEWS THAN THE RULE OF LAW
WELL ON WHERE WE STAND RIGHT NOW
SAME PLACE AS YESTERDAY
I SAW OTHER MEDIA ARE CARRYING THAT ALLAWI AND MALIKI ARE GOING TO SHARE

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With 7/29/10, 930am, Chat, dinar, Speculator

* Politicians: not entitled to the United Nations to intervene in Iraqi affairs

July 29, 2010 Leave a Comment

Thu 29/07/2010
Baghdad / term and agencies

Is the subject of regional intervention in political affairs of Iraq is more than a question mark where Observers point out that the demand of not interfering in the affairs of Iraq is a paradox in Iraqi politics, each country from neighboring countries as well as America declares demand non-interference in the affairs of Iraq, as Iraqi officials announced that requirement, but also to assert the presence of external interference and regional specific.
The MP for the National Coalition Sabah al-Saadi warned in a press conference held in Baghdad on Tuesday, that the UN Security Council on the fourth of next month a decision to choose an Iraqi government on the basis of Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations, which are subject of Iraq since 1990 with the occupation of Kuwait.

With Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki during a meeting with Chief of Staff of the U.S. Joint Chiefs Mike Mullen, the regional interference in Iraqi affairs caused a “handicap” to form a government and become “a threat” to Iraq and the region, noting that this intervention, which rejects many of the political blocs have implications a negative impact on the political process and stability in Iraq.

For his part, Dr. روژ Nuri Shaways Deputy Prime Minister that is incumbent on all political blocs to reach an acceptable solution among themselves to achieve acceptance and nationally to move beyond the impasse and is equipped with the will of national decision that everyone realize that the international community will Idtarama continue the existing situation to intervene.

Shaways said that solutions coming from abroad will not necessarily be Naila acceptance of the Iraqi National and it may be painful solutions.

The UN Security Council is the fourth of August, the next special meeting to discuss developments in the political and security situation in Iraq and how to apply the international resolutions issued against him, under Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations after the invasion of Kuwait in August 1990, fear among Iraqi political intervention by international if no agreement is reached between the political blocs lead to the formation of the government before the Security Council to hold its own in Iraq.

Attorney for coalition rule of law, Yaseen Majeed considered, that the promotion of the possibility of the imposition of United Nations by the Government through the UN Security Council meeting to be held soon, political leverage used by some of the menus, including Iraq, as he emphasized that the United Nations had no right to interfere in Iraqi affairs only at the request of Baghdad .

Yasin Majid, said in the interview with “Alsumaria News”, “There are political actors, including the Iraqi List is promoting the issue of intervention internationalist in the formation of the government,” adding that “this promotion and hype, nothing more than a political leverage to the masses in order to achieve the interests of certain they are not allowed the UN Security Council to intervene in Iraqi affairs but a formal request from the Iraqi government, “he says.

The glorious “The Mission of the United Nations or the so-called Paliunami in Iraq, not do any work in Iraq only at the request of the Iraqi government, both in terms of assistance in the case of the Covenant or the election or the issues of national reconciliation, which is agreed upon between Iraq and the United Nations” . The glorious that “the Security Council meeting to be held next August, is a regular meeting, and does not have anything to do with the issue of government formation, since the United Nations had no right to interfere in our internal affairs, after it became the full sovereignty of Iraq.”

The glorious hope that “up winning the political blocs that are being dialogues among themselves to resolve the issue of forming a government next month,” calling the political blocs to “deal with things realistically and objective away from pressure, intimidation and the threat of side issues.”

For his part, declared leader of the Iraqi List, Mohammed Allawi, refused to list the intervention of any outside party, the question of the expected formation of the government, because it means “in compliance with the commandments of the others”.

Allawi said in a press statement that “We reject categorically any outside interference from any other party in the formation of the Iraqi government, because this will not be in the interest of the country,” stressing the “need to be forming a government Iraqis, without complying with the commandments of the others.”
He explained that “the intervention of external actors in internal Iraqi affairs will allow it to impose its decisions on the Iraqi factions who must therefore abide by all the parties to decide by that in the future.”
Is regarded as leader of the Kurdistan Alliance, Mahmoud Othman, the UN Security Council meeting to be held early next month to discuss developments in political and security situation in Iraq, would be helpful and encouraging to accelerate the formation of the government, ruling out at the same time to impose a meeting of the Council any decisions or recommendations Iraqi factions needed to implement them.

Osman said in an interview with “Alsumaria News”, “The UN Security Council meeting to be held in August next will depend on developments in the government formation process and the Agreement on the Iraqi political blocs among themselves to get out formulas in common, in addition to the report of the envoy of the Secretary General of the United Nations in Iraq Ad Melkert “.

The Osman “In light of the failure of the political blocs to significant progress in the process of forming the government, the United Nations and the Security Council would take a turn steps to help the Iraqis form a government,” while predicting that “the Security Council imposes any decisions or recommendations that required Iraqi factions to implement , because the Iraqi factions refuse to implement any resolutions of the meeting of the Council. ”

He added that “Iraq has suffered and is suffering external interventions still bear bitter, especially after 1991, and contributed some are now disabled the Government”, at the same time refusing to internationalize the issue of Iraq, because “the internationalization of interest did not come to Iraq and Iraqis.”

By the last male member of a coalition blocs of Kurdistan, that in case of failure of the political blocs in reaching solutions to lead to the formation of the next government will be considerably relay the issue to the UN Security Council that Iraq is still subject to Chapter VII, which could lead to a re-run by the United Nations.

The Mahma Akaniwz Khalil told that “if the political blocs have failed to find solutions leading to form a government, there are sums of legal materials will be applied to Iraq by the UN Security Council.”

He pointed out that “political parties want to internationalize the issue through the intervention of the UN Security Council,” noting that the “paging file could push the UN to re-election again in Iraq and the Iraqi people will be the only loser.”

Khalil said he is “If Masarat political blocs to end a crisis to form a government before the UN Security Council meeting, the meeting will discuss the Iraqi crisis,” predicted that “the political blocs face pressure by the Security Council that the Iraqi file is still under the threat and the legitimacy of Chapter VII.”

Khelil added that “the will of the internal political blocs will have to be in the coming days in order to complete the process of forming the government,” noting that “external pressures and internal forcing politicians to resolve things, especially after violating the Constitution several times.”

And Khalil, “The political blocs started Charonha if it fails to resolve the crisis internally solutions will come from abroad, particularly political blocs, and that calls for internationalizing the Iraqi issue.

Link

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With affairs, entitled, intervene, Iraqi, Nations, politicians, United

* European Union plans to open diplomatic consulates in Erbil and Basra

July 29, 2010 Leave a Comment

Thursday, July 29th 2010

Baghdad, July 29 (AKnews) – The head of the European Union in Iraq said on Wednesday that the Union wants to open diplomatic consulates for the mission in Erbil and Basra in order to support its role in the country.

“The European Union is planning to develop its work by increasing the number of personnel in the mission from 52 to 71 employees, and expanding the Mission’s activities in most of the Iraqi provinces,” said Franesco Diaz Alcantud, head of the European Union in Iraq.

“The European Union has allocated a sum of 17 million euros for 2011, primarily to be spent on services, judiciary development in Iraq and education of all kinds” Alcatund specified, adding that, “…the European Union has spent about 40 million euros on Iraq since the fall of the former regime in 2003. Until now most of it has been spent supporting the law and developing democracy”.

“Iraq is witnessing a real improvement in its democratic status and the power mechanisms within, but the road is still long and requires further genuine efforts from the Iraqi government and the European Union,” Alcatund continued.

“There is a high-level of coordination between the EU, the United States and the United Nations (UNAMI) to support Iraq significantly in establishing a democratic authority,” Alcatund concluded.

Sa/Ka/AKnews

http://www.aknews.com/en/aknews/4/168656/

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With Basra, consulates, diplomatic, Erbil, European, Open, plans, Union

* Iraqi Vice-rule decisions of the Security Council to undermine the political process in Iraq

July 29, 2010 Leave a Comment
29/07/2010

Baghdad, July 29 (Akaniwz) – Iraqi Deputy ruled out a coalition of law on Thursday, the UN Security Council issue at its meeting scheduled for next month’s decisions undermine the political process in Iraq.

He said Haider Jurani told Kurdistan News (Akaniwz) today that I was “I do not think that the meeting of the Security Council, as depicted by some Iraqi politicians to internationalize the Iraqi issue, because this was a setback for the U.S. project for democracy in Iraq, and a return to square one,” adding that “the United States sponsor of the democratization project in Iraq. ”

He added that “if there was a delay in the formation of the government for pragmatic reasons it is possible to be addressed through dialogues and negotiations, it is possible to express the UN Security Council advises the Iraqi politicians to resolve the crisis and accelerate the formation of government.”

He Jourani saying, “I do not expect to issue any decision on the meeting may be offensive to the will of the voters of Iraq,” expecting that “only the UN Security Council call to speed up the formation of the government shall not issue a decision undermines the democratic process in Iraq.”

The decision to hold a UN Security Council in fourth month of August next year a meeting to discuss Iraq’s status, which raised fears of Iraqi politicians that Iraq is still under pain of chapter VII.

The representative of the Secretary-General of the United Nations Ed Melkert said during a meeting with Iraqi Vice President Tareq al-Hashemi on Wednesday evening that “Security Council members expect a positive report on Iraq, but the report will be a surprise to them.” He explained “stressing two things: First, to agree lists all on a single goal during the dialogues present in the selection of one candidate has a majority and unanimous support to begin to form a government, the other is: Adoption of the al-Maliki and the rest of the masses that the current government, caretaker government, as evidenced by a statement al-Dabbagh on Tuesday the first on the subject, “he that “this will be reflected in his report and confirms it”

Did not reach the political blocs of winning elections, even solutions to the formation of the government, while the dispute is about the eligibility of the entity authorized to form the government under more than one party holding such right in accordance with the election results and the interpretation of Article 76 of the Iraqi Constitution.

The country has seen since the announcement of the Federal Court for ratification of the election results on 1 June last mobility politically, between blocks four winners in the elections to form a government, but said the groups had not succeeded until now in agreement on the formation of the government because of disagreements on legal cluster, which will cost head the next government .

He insists the Iraqi coalition (91 seats) that the text refers to the list of winning the election, is a coalition of state law (89 seats) means that the text of a cluster may arise as a result of a merger or alliance winning any of the blocks after the election.

Raised the interpretation of the controversial, has outraged the leaders of Iraq, is viewed as a coup against democracy and the electoral and constitutional maturity.

Escalated violence in the capital Baghdad, in light of stalled the formation of the Iraqi government and political leaders warned that a delay will negatively impact on the security reality.

Especially with the readiness of U.S. forces to withdraw from Iraq under the security agreement signed between him and the United States, which provide for the withdrawal of American forces from Iraqi cities by the end of June 2009, and the retention of 50 000 troops by the end of August next before its withdrawal from Iraq completely by the end of 2011.

link

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With Council, decisions, Iraq, Iraqi, political, process, Security, undermine, Vicerule

* Fiddleman Email to DD: A Trader’s Perspective (Great Thoughts!)

July 29, 2010 Leave a Comment

DD,

Much has been said about RV dates for the Iraqi Dinar. I am a full-time currency trader in the midwest. I am in complete agreement with you, Dr. J, and Breitling regarding the time frame expected for the RV. I would like to take this a step further and explain why we are looking at late September/ October for the RV.

We all know that China is buying Euros right now; but why? My best guess is that China has an agreement with the IMF to prop up the Euro before the RV happens. One month ago, the Euro was trading at 1.19 or so. If the RV had happened at that time, the Euro would have fallen dramatically because U.S. holdings of dinar and the potential to lower our deficit because of the RV, would have brought swarms of dollar buyers to the table. Since currencies are traded in pairs, if traders are buying dollars, then the Euro is dropping. The IMF does not want a Euro at 1.1. And neither does the U.S. Balance of trade; import/export issues are all affected.

By propping up the Euro now, (it is trading at 1.3080 at this writing), the issues explained above will be implemented in a more controlled way. It will take until late September to October for the Euro to rise to the levels where the IMF is comfortable with the exchange rate. No weak dollar and no weak Euro. This about much more than Iraq; lots of players are involved in this venture. The IMF is making sure that the balance is protected with regard to exchange rates.

Could we all be surprised and have this happen sooner? Yes. Someone could throw a curve ball anytime to shake this up. However, if there is no curve ball, then we are looking at late Sept. to October. Have a great day!

Fiddleman

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With Email, Fiddleman, Great, perspective, thoughts..., Trader’s

* Let’s Clarify the Election Mess(Gankans)

July 29, 2010 3 Comments

Let’s Clarify the Election Mess

Iraqi parliamentary election, 2010

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraqi_parliamentary_election,_2010

What we know…

“A parliamentary election was held in Iraq on 7 March 2010. The election decided the 325 members of the Council of Representatives of Iraq who will elect the Iraqi Prime Minister and President. The election resulted in a partial victory for the Iraqi National Movement, led by former Interim Prime Minister Ayad Allawi, which won a total of 91 seats, making it the largest alliance in the Council. The State of Law Coalition, led by incumbent Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki, was the second largest grouping with 89 seats.”

“The election has been controversial. Prior to the election, the Supreme Court in Iraq ruled that the existing electoral law/rule was unconstitutional, and a new elections law made changes in the electoral system. On 15 January 2010 Iraq’s electoral commission banned 499 candidates from the election due to alleged links with the Ba’ath Party. Before the start of the campaign on 12 February 2010, the IHEC confirmed that the appeals by banned candidates had been rejected and thus all 456 banned candidates would not be allowed to run for the election.”

“A recount of the votes in Baghdad was ordered on 19 April 2010. On 14 May IHEC announced that after 11,298 ballot boxes had been recounted; there was no sign of fraud or violations.”

Electoral System

The necessary election law was only passed on 8 November 2009, and the UN Mission in Iraq, which is helping with the elections, estimated that it needed 90 days to plan for the election. The electoral commission asked for a delay from the original date of 15 January. Iraqi Vice President Tariq Al-Hashimi vetoed the election law on 18 November 2009, delaying the election, which was originally scheduled for 21 January.

Prior to the election, the Supreme Court in Iraq ruled that the existing electoral rule was unconstitutional. The parliament therefore set about drafting a new electoral law.

The Iraqi cabinet approved a draft elections law in September 2009. However, it took two months and ten delays for the law to pass in the Council of Representatives. The main areas of dispute concerned the “open list” electoral system and the voters roll in Kirkuk Governorate, which Arab and Turkmen parties alleged had been manipulated by the Kurdistan Regional Government of Iraq.

The council agreed to increase the number of seats from 275 to 325.
On 15 January 2010 Iraq’s electoral commission banned 499 candidates, most Sunni Muslims, from the election due to alleged links with the Ba’ath Party.

Summary of the 2010 election for Council of Representatives of Iraq

Iraqi National Movement (al-Iraqiya) 2,849,612 24.72% (91 votes)
State of Law Coalition 2,792,083 24.22% (89 votes)
National Iraqi Alliance 2,092,066 18.15% (70 votes)
Kurdistan Alliance 1,681,714 14.59% (43 votes)
Movement for Change (Gorran) 476,478 4.13% (8 votes)
Unity Alliance of Iraq 306,647 2.66% (4 votes)
Iraqi Accord Front (al-Tawafuq) 298,226 2.59% (6 votes)
Kurdistan Islamic Union 243,720 2.12% (4 votes
Islamic Group of Kurdistan 152,530 1.32% (2 votes)

Prior to the elections there were already claims that Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s list was planning to rig elections. The fact that the government printed 26 milion ballots, 35% more than are needed for all eligible voters led to claims by Ayad Allawi and his al-Iraqiiya list that these ballots were going to be used to commit fraud. According to the National Iraqi Alliance al-Maliki was abusing his powers as Prime Minister by distributing government land and plantations freely to tribal leaders to secure their votes, Maliki was also said to be giving expensive guns with gold emblems on them, to visitors.

Ibahim al-Jaafari’s Islah party accused the Maliki government of registering 800,000 fabricated names in rural areas and Baghdad so the government could use their names to vote in favour of Maliki while these people do not exist. The Sadr Movement complained that the government was arresting and detaining their supporters in the days prior to the elections to prevent them from voting.

One of the two main components of the INA, the Supreme Iraqi Islamic Council, stated it would not join any government that did not include former PM Allawi; the other main component, the Sadrist Movement (holding 40 of its 70 seats), held an unofficial referendum on 2 and 3 April 2010 on which politician should be PM. Possible choices were Allawi, al-Maliki, former PM Ibrahim al-Jaafari, Adel Abdel Mahdi from the SIIC, and Jaafar al-Sadr (a little-known MP from al-Maliki’s Dawa Party, son of its ideological founder Mohammad Baqir al-Sadr). On 7 April 2010, results were announced, according to which al-Jaafari had won with 24% of the vote.

May 4th, after months of negotiations the National Iraqi Alliance and the State of Law Coalition agreed to merging into one parliamentary bloc of 159 seats, the bloc would be 4 seats short of a majority but would have the right for government formation. However the bloc has to date still not appointed a Prime Minister candidate. The bloc, called National Alliance, was formally formed on 11 June 2010. Parliament opened on 14 June 2010.

Analysis:

This gives you a clearer perspective of how we have gotten to where we are presently. Doesn’t mean it makes sense, but you can see that there are serious corruption and political issues. A lot has changed in the past few months and as you can see… we are at the end of this election war.

What we will see in the coming days is that the Government of Iraq (GOI) will be forced by the U.S., UN Security Counsel, and the IMF to revalue the dinar. Doesn’t matter if they blow up the entire country, the GOI is being forced to give us an election result by Aug. 4th or the UN and Hilary will step in and start putting up curtains in Hillary’s white house.

If this happens the shame of all Iraq people will explode! You might even see a civil war if the U.S. takes back the country until election results are finalized- IMO. It would be absolutely disgraceful for them to allow the U.S. or UN to take control because they couldn’t get their heads out of their woowhoo’s. Iraq needs to show the rest of the world that they have a solid government foundation or the rest of the world will not be able to support them. I also think GOI are taking so long with the elections because they want to get rid of the corruption.

This should help clear up some of the basic questions most people have. But going forth, please take your time and read the articles and analyze the article and see who is making the quotes, and which news agencies are pushing the GOI agenda to trick into seeing a different picture. Why would they do this? Obviously they don’t want us to know what they are doing, or to have us sell off out dinars. We must not waiver. Don’t get caught up in the BS the media is spewing out. Listen to the GET Team intel and compare your notes and you will start to see the big picture. Some of you are already seeing this. Take your emotions out of the articles when reading them. Look at it from a common sense point of view. Listen to the intel and do the same. Compare notes and see what is obviously an error, or what looks similar. This will keep you from being disappointed.

Good Luck!

Filed Under Dinar Daddy Tidbits Tagged With Clarify, election, Let’s, MessGankans
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